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10-year T-Note

Election 2024

Bond yields owe a debt to presidential politics

by Sabri Ben-Achour
Jul 3, 2024
Yields on the 10-year Treasury note rose after the recent debate on the idea that a Trump election win could boost inflation.
A Republican administration's policies might add to inflation and government debt, said David Kelly of J.P. Morgan Asset Management. But Democrats spend a lot too.
Justin Sullivan/Getty Images
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National Debt

Bonds are talking to us after inflation gauge comes in above forecasts

by Sabri Ben-Achour
Apr 10, 2024
What are they saying?
Ten-year bond yields theoretically signal the levels of interest rates years into the future.
Johannes Eisele/AFP via Getty Images
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Why are bond yields so high right now?

by Sabri Ben-Achour
Oct 23, 2023
The yield on the 10-year Treasury briefly hit 5%, the highest level since 2007. A resilient economy and expanding debt are pushing rates up.
For a while, bond markets expected a weaker economy and possible rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2024.
Win McNamee/Getty Images
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Climbing 10-year Treasury yield signals costlier future for buying, borrowing

by Sabri Ben-Achour
Aug 18, 2023
If the Federal Reserve needs to keep interest rates higher to continue battling inflation, 10-year yields will have to compete.
The Treasury Department is issuing a lot of bonds to pay for recent government spending. Above, a statue of Alexander Hamilton outside the agency's offices.
Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images
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Interest rates on U.S. bonds are economic crystal balls — if you know how to read them

by Sabri Ben-Achour
Feb 22, 2023
The markets that set the yield on bonds are trying to predict the economic future.
Yields for government debt like Treasury notes are set by where the market thinks the economy is headed.
Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images
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