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LEI

The Conference Board’s index of indicators is down ... again

by Mitchell Hartman
Nov 21, 2024
But the LEI's declines are slowing and it's no longer warning of a recession ahead. Plus, other economic indicators are looking positive.
Even if the LEI doesn't look great, other indicators, like the job market and the stock market, are strong.
Angela Weiss/AFP via Getty Images
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As a recession fails to materialize, some economists are changing their tune

by Justin Ho
Nov 21, 2023
The Index of Leading Economic Indicators has been pointing to a slowdown for 19 months. It hasn't materialized.
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Leading economic indicators stubbornly point to a recession. It still hasn't arrived.

by Mitchell Hartman
Aug 17, 2023
So are the indicators wrong, or have we just not waited long enough?
“If this recession happens, it will be the most predicted recession — like, ever,” said former Federal Reserve economist Claudia Sahm.
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