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Predictions

When economic predictions are wrong

by Marielle Segarra
Jul 22, 2021
When we tell you about economic news, we’re always saying things like "numbers were higher (or lower) than expected." How much, then, should we consider economists’ expectations?
A once-in-a-lifetime pandemic has thrown a wrench in economic forecasting, economists say.
Spencer Platt via Getty Images
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Who thinks we're in for a recession? CFOs, a survey says

by Mitchell Hartman
Dec 14, 2018
Duke University poll finds almost half think a slowdown will hit within a year
A board shows stock numbers on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Dec. 07.
Spencer Platt/Getty Images
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Make Me Smart With Kai and Molly

2018: I don't think we're ready for this jelly

by Phoebe Unterman
Dec 26, 2017
Predicting the new year in food, fashion, politics and Beyoncé.
Will aspic, that savory gelatin in the bowls above, make a comeback in 2018?
Chaloner Woods/Getty Images
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Researchers want to predict future traffic

by Molly Wood
Apr 6, 2015
Microsoft is lending cloud computing power to traffic prediction research.
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Final Note

Inside the CIA's crystal ball for 2015

by David Gura
Jan 1, 2015
In 2000, the CIA made 70 pages worth of predictions for 2015. They didn't get everything right.
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