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Stories Tagged as

Recession

Do the latest job numbers point to a coming recession?

by Sabri Ben-Achour
Nov 6, 2023
The number of new jobs created each month has been trending down for the past year — but there is also a good amount of positive data in the latest report.
Overall, the number of new jobs created each month has been chaotic but generally trending down for 12 months.
Justin Sullivan/Getty Images
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Germany's economy stumbles, once again making it the "sick man of Europe"

by Leanna Byrne
Oct 26, 2023
Business activity in Germany contracted for a fourth straight month in October. Experts are labeling Europe’s largest economy the "sick man of Europe."
The International Monetary Fund expects Germany's economy to contract 0.3% this year. Above, the banking district skyline of Frankfurt.
Kirill Kudryavtsev/AFP via Getty Images
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Temp jobs falling usually signals a recession. Maybe not this time.

by Meghan McCarty Carino
Oct 5, 2023
It's probably more a sign of pandemic labor market weirdness than a coming recession.
Following an explosion of temp jobs during the pandemic, many positions were made permanent as companies scrambled to recruit and retain workers. Above, participants at a San Francisco job fair.
Justin Sullivan/Getty Images
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Conference Board reports fall in consumer confidence

by Mitchell Hartman
Sep 27, 2023
The nonprofit business research group found that consumers think a recession is on the way, as the economy faces challenges ahead.
One thing consumers are worried about, and think could signal an oncoming recession, is high food prices.
Mario Tama/Getty Images
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An inverted yield curve usually signals recession. Is it wrong this time?

by Matt Levin
Sep 7, 2023
For well over a year, the interest paid by long-term Treasury bonds has been lower than that of shorter-term debt. But a recession hasn't happened yet.
When the yield curve inverts, it indicates that bond investors are betting on a coming recession.
Angela Weiss/AFP via Getty Images
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Leading economic indicators stubbornly point to a recession. It still hasn't arrived.

by Mitchell Hartman
Aug 17, 2023
So are the indicators wrong, or have we just not waited long enough?
“If this recession happens, it will be the most predicted recession — like, ever,” said former Federal Reserve economist Claudia Sahm.
Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images
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U.S. equity investors think stocks are too expensive, survey finds

by Mitchell Hartman
Aug 16, 2023
S&P Global’s investment manager index survey says most sectors are losing favor with investors. What's going on?
Climbing interest rates are pushing investors away from stocks and into bonds, per Gary Schlossberg with the Wells Fargo Investment Institute.
Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images
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Why the Fed could eventually cut interest rates again

by Justin Ho
Aug 15, 2023
Goldman Sachs economists predict rate reductions next year based on declining inflation, which would make high rates unnecessary.
The Federal Reserve has been raising the federal funds rate to bring down inflation. If inflation declines further, high rates might be unnecessary.
Karen Bleier/AFP via Getty Images
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China's exports are falling, and that's a bad sign for the global economy

by Kristin Schwab
Aug 8, 2023
China is the world’s top exporter, and its trade data is a barometer for consumer spending around the world.
China’s exports fell 14.5% in July from a year earlier, the biggest decline since the start of the pandemic. Above, a port in China's eastern Jiangsu province.
STR/AFP via Getty Images
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Are we finally exiting the "vibecession"?

by Kai Ryssdal and Livi Burdette
Aug 2, 2023
We asked content creator and independent economics educator Kyla Scanlon if consumer sentiment is finally matching up with economic data.
"I think things are trending upward for most people," says economics educator Kyla Scanlon. "But still, it can feel like there's sometimes maybe something missing or something a little bit off."
Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images
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