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The difference between the "paper" price of Brent crude and what refiners pay for it

That’s a big gap between the financial world’s price of oil versus what people are actually paying to get a physical delivery of a barrel of oil.

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Crude oil futures have calmed down a bit since their spike earlier this month, but they remain elevated.
Crude oil futures have calmed down a bit since their spike earlier this month, but they remain elevated.
Photo by Dan Kitwood/Getty Images

​West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude was right around $90 a barrel on Tuesday — lower than peaks earlier this month but still not cheap.

But that WTI price — which “Marketplace” and outlets around the world report all the time — is a financial measure. It represents the future price of a barrel of U.S. oil — on paper. It’s not what a refiner is actually paying for a shipment of crude oil today. It could actually cost them a lot more. ​

​​There are so many different crude oils and prices — WTI, Brent, OPEC, Mexican, Indian. There’s even a crude price called Mars.

“Mars is actually an offshore platform in the Gulf of Mexico,” said Tom Seng, a professor of energy finance at Texas Christian University.

But lately, something unusual has been happening with Europe’s benchmark crude oil, Brent, said Joe DeLaura, senior energy strategist with Rabobank.

“The current state of unreality between futures prices for oil and physical prices for oil is just blowing my mind.,” DeLaura said. “We now have a $26 spread again between Brent physical and Brent futures.”

That’s a big gap between the price being paid for Brent futures — the financial world’s price of oil — versus what people are actually paying to get a physical delivery of a barrel of oil.

“We just keep talking about futures,” DeLaura said. “Like, oh, futures are down $4 today. Okay, who cares? Well, futures don't mean anything. Physical oil means everything.”

And because of the Iran war, the physical market is tight.

“Physical buyers are dealing with barrels available soon, right now — a specific point in time,” said Dan Pickering, chief investment officer at Pickering Energy Partners. “And those two markets, financial versus physical, can diverge — and have diverged.”

While energy market chaos may not be good for consumers, farmers, or shippers, there are some winners, said Mark Finley, an economist at Rice University.

“Trading houses that that thrive on volatile markets,” he said. “They're in their element right now.”

On the other hand, Finley said that large oil companies making long-term investment decisions can’t afford to chase up and down the price of oil.

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